Starting Balance: $200

Win/Loss last week: -$62.00

Current Balance: $181.20

Odds taken from www.centrebet.com

Singular bet as follows:

• Collingwood with a -8.5 point start Brisbane $130 @ 1.46
• Sydney with a 19.5+ start against Hawthorn $51.20 @ 2.00

The justification of my bet

Simon Prestigiacomo should keep an understrength Jonathan Brown quiet this week

Collingwood take on Brisbane at the Gabba and a solid win here will keep them in check with the top 2. With the Pies midfield ticking along nicely and the return of veteran Simon Prestigiacomo to the lineup Collingwood look to have all the Aces to shut down the Lions.

Speculation abounds whether Lions skipper Jonathan Brown and spearhead forward Brendon Fevola are match fit and despite coach Michael Voss stating otherwise, recent form suggests these two will be looking forward to the split round in a couple of weeks time. Until these two are fit and firing  a top 4 team will never feel threatened by the Lions.

After last week’s stirring win Hawthorn look to be back on track for season 2010, albeit 5 weeks too late while the Swans are suffering a couple of big name injuries to key forward Daniel Bradshaw and Kerry’s favourite son Tadhg Kennelly. Despite this the Swans will be hunting a win to stay in the top 8 and make things just that bit easier when crunch time comes in the latter part of the season. With Sam Mitchell and Luke Hodge both firing the Hawks have found an extra couple of cylinders in the last week and should win in a closely contested battle but the Swans should cover a 19.5 point start with a goal to spare.

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