Starting Balance: $200
Current Balance: $215
Odds taken from www.centrebet.com
After making the mistake of including an underdone Adelaide in my multi bets last week I am going to be a little more conservative this week in order to get a win on the board.
$10 on the following multi @ $2.19
- Brisbane
- St Kilda
- Essendon
$20 on the following bet @ $1.44
- Hawthorn with a +39.5 point start
- St Kilda
The justification of my bets
While the Lions took awhile to click into gear against the Eagles they showed what they are capable of in the 4th quarter with Johnathan Brown asserting his dominance on the game as only he could. The Blues had a solid win over the Tigers but are still without any real forward line structure and Chris Judd is still absent due to suspension.
Brent Stanton will be a handful for the Dockers
The home ground advantage should see the Lions home by 3-4 goals.
St Kilda is a given to beat North Melbourne with the Roos still in the developmental stages of building a list. With an armory boasting Nick Riewoldt, Brendon Goddard, Lenny Hayes and Sam Gilbert the Saints should give the Roos a pasting.
It’s a simple fact that Fremantle don’t like Etihad Stadium at all and this Easter Sunday clash should be no different. The Bombers have the more established midfield of the two sides and this is where the game will be won with the likes of Jobe Watson and the two Brent’s, Stanton and Prismal, the Bombers should win this by 3-4 goals.
The best bet of the round is the Hawks to with a +39.5 point start against the Cats at the ‘G. Yes I know the Hawks were playing Melbourne last week but they looked to be in excellent nick but the Cats only played one or two solid quarters of footy last week, something the Hawks will exploit. Expect Gary Ablett and Joel Selwood to receive a heavy tag and the likes of Sam Mitchell and Jordan Lewis to stand up and kick goals as Matthew Scarlett should take care of Jarryd Roughead. +39.5 points looks to be an absolute gift and when rolled into the Saints for extra value should salute easily.
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April 1st, 2010 at 10:31 am
If Centrebet are seriously giving the Hawks a +39.5 head start, they’re out of their brains.
At odds, taking Blues for win & the line, Lions by 1-39
Pies at line & 40+
Saints to win & 1-39
Eagles to win, at line & 1-39
Crows to win, @ line & 1-39
Bombers to win, @ line & 1-39
Tigers @ line & Dogs 1-39
Hawks at odds to win, @ line & Cats 1-39
April 1st, 2010 at 11:01 am
Can I have someone explaining the +39.5 to me?
.-= Jermayn´s last blog ..Should the AFL Have a Good Friday Match? =-.
April 1st, 2010 at 1:29 pm
The Hawks get 39.5 points added onto their overall score so even if Geelong win by 38 points or less I still win the bet.
April 1st, 2010 at 2:31 pm
Thanks Depps for the update. Is the margin only if they loose or what about if they win? ie: What if the Hawks win by 40 points or more?
April 1st, 2010 at 4:30 pm
If the Hawks win thats OK as well they would win by an extra 39.5 points for betting purposes. Unless Geelong winning by 40 points or more the bet gets up. Also thanks for changing the picture, it only just occurred to me that Gilbert is not playing this week.