Starting Balance: $200

Win/Loss last week: $100.60

Current Balance: $243.20

Odds taken from www.centrebet.com

Singular bet as follows:

• Geelong to defeat Collingwood $70 @ 1.76
• Bulldogs with a -10.5 point start against North Melbourne $40 @ 1.45
• Brisbane to defeat Adelaide $40 @ 1.66
• Carlton to defeat Hawthorn $90 @ 1.36
• Geelong, Western Bulldogs, Brisbane, Carlton multi $3.2 @ 4.92

The justification of my bet

The biggest game of the year so far is also the best value in odds if you get it right, there is no other time this season both teams will be at such long odds. Expect some exciting match ups in the midfield and with the likes of Scott Pendelbery, Dane Swan, Gary Ablett, and Joel Selwood roaming around. With both teams firing I think the Cats are a better team than the Pies on paper and they should win by 2 or 3 goals.

Daniel Cross is one of the most underrated players in the AFL

The Western Bulldogs come up against in North Melbourne and a win here would keep the Doggies in top 4 contention. With Barry Hall finally looking to have settled into his role and stalwarts Daniel Cross, Adam Cooney and Brian Lake all in excellent form North will struggle to get points on the board.

With all the talk of injury and suspected injury in the Brisbane camp the Lions are starting at much longer odds than they would of a couple of weeks ago against the Crows. Depending who you listen to both Jonathan Brown and Brendon Fevola will be far from fit if they line up though the advantage of having two star forwards is both could have half strength games and the Lions will still get over the line. Though I expect the Crows to rally at home the Lions should come out on top of the scrap.

The Hawks can’t take a trick and after scraping a default win last week against the Tigers the season looks to be on very shaky ground. On the contrary the Blues are flying with young guns Bryce Gibbs, Matthew Kreuzer, Mark Murphy and Chis Yarren now providing the backbone of this well molded team.  A win here all but cements the Blues a finals spot and I can’t see the Hawks rallying to cause an upset, the Blues should win comfortably.

Be Sociable, Share!

•